Will the SGE switch back to European Cup mode?

Frankfurter Eintracht has recently slid into a veritable crisis. In the Bundesliga, it hailed three defeats in a row, the last one last Sunday at home against Union Berlin. Due to the obvious loss of form, the SGE fell back to fourth place in the standings and in the further course of the season must even fear for the renewed qualification for the international business. A defeat on Thursday evening in the round of 16 of the Europa League would finally tip the mood on the Main. However, there is still a lot to suggest that the betting tip of the Hessians progressing will prevail between Frankfurt and Ajax Amsterdam.

Above all, the starting position naturally plays into the hands of coach Dino Toppmöller’s team. A week ago, the Adlerträger won 2-1 in the cauldron of Amsterdam and would therefore advance to the quarter-finals with a draw. However, driven by the enthusiastic home fans, there are even more arguments in favor of a home win for Frankfurt against Ajax Amsterdam before the second leg. Incidentally, the next opponent of the 2022 Europa League winner will be determined between Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar. The Dutch team won the first leg at home 1-0.

If, on the other hand, you want to bet that Eintracht, who have recently seemed a little erratic and unfocused, will be surprisingly knocked out in the last 16, then the Betway app is offering you odds of 5.00 before the match Frankfurt vs. Ajax Amsterdam. With the Betway welcome bonus, your first deposit of up to 100 euros will automatically be doubled.

Frankfurt – Statistics & current form

For a long time, everything pointed to Eintracht Frankfurt celebrating their comeback in the premier league in the coming season after two years of absence. In fact, the SGE has been in one of the top four places in the Bundesliga since the 9th matchday, but the cushion has recently shrunk noticeably. Because only one of the past seven league matches has been won, the eagle-bearers have recently lost three in a row and only occupy 13th place in the second half of the season, SC Freiburg, in fifth place, are only one point behind the black and red and white.

Is Eintracht regaining its self-confidence in its favorite competition?

So while things haven’t been going well in the league for weeks and the embarrassing 2-1 defeat at the weekend, after leading 1-0 at home to Union Berlin, represented a new low in the downward trend, the kickers from the Main metropolis, of all places, made their strongest appearance in the 2025 calendar year in the Europa League. This refers to the first leg a week ago, which Toppmöller’s team won 2-1 in Amsterdam, thus putting themselves in an excellent position for the second leg at home on Thursday evening.

Speaking of the home crowd: the SGE regularly flex their muscles in their own stadium when the floodlights come on and the European Cup anthem sounds during the week. During the league phase, the Hessians recorded ten out of a possible twelve points at home. The last three EL home games were all won without conceding a goal! If you want to bet on another home win including a clean sheet for the upcoming game, odds between Frankfurt and Ajax Amsterdam are offered at 3.65 at the top.

In my opinion, however, the odds that the home side will score in both halves are more exciting. Currently, the offense is generally doing a better job than the defense, which has conceded a whopping ten goals in its last three Bundesliga games. To make matters worse, two defensive leaders, Koch and Theate, are at risk of missing out. Both were already missing at the weekend and are questionable for the return leg, which is so important for the rest of the season.

Ajax Amsterdam – Statistics & current form

Actually, everything was decided a week ago in the Europa League round of 16 first knockout match. With a home win, “De Godenzonen” wanted to lay the foundation for their entry into the quarter-finals. It started well, but after the 1-0 lead, there was simply too little, so that the team of Italian head coach Francesco Farioli could not complain about the 1-2 defeat in the end.

The Frankfurt vs. Ajax Amsterdam betting odds underline how difficult the task will be in the German financial capital. Merkur Bets offers 3.87 as the highest odds for an away win in normal time. We have shared our experiences with Merkur Bets in the linked test report with you. In the event of an away win by one goal, it would go into extra time. If Ajax wins by two goals, there is the possibility of an all-Dutch quarter-final against Alkmaar.

Ajax has to take more risks in the second leg

Statistically, however, the trend does not necessarily favor the guests. In eight of the last nine European knockout rounds, the Amsterdamers were eliminated after a home defeat in the first leg. Furthermore, the Farioli team did not cover themselves in glory in opposing stadiums during the league phase either. Among others, the current Eredivisie league leaders, who are now heading towards the championship with a huge eight-point lead, lost in Riga and at Real Sociedad. They have only won two of the five previous European matches this season.

It is also bitter that captain Jordan Henderson will not be available for the game at the Deutsche Bank Park. The Liverpool icon received his third yellow card in injury time last week and is therefore missing through suspension. The Dutch team also have to cope with a bitter loss between the posts. Regular keeper Pasveer was injured in the first leg and substitute Matheus is not eligible to play in the European Cup, so that the third-choice goalkeeper Gorter has to keep a clean sheet.

Despite the strong form in the league, which is reflected in ten wins in a row and only two goals conceded in this period, the aspects mentioned above and the impressions from the first leg lead me to refrain from making a prediction about “De Godenzonen” before the second leg of Frankfurt against Ajax Amsterdam.

Frankfurt – Ajax Amsterdam Direct comparison / H2H record

The first leg a week ago was also the first competitive clash between these teams. Brobbey put Ajax 1-0 up, but Larsson and Skhiri scored to give Eintracht a 2-1 away win. Overall, Frankfurt have only played two home games in the European Cup against Dutch clubs so far, winning both. Ajax Amsterdam, on the other hand, have only celebrated one victory in their last five away games in Germany.

Frankfurt vs. Ajax Amsterdam tip

After the 2-1 away win in Amsterdam last week, everyone in Frankfurt expects to make it to the quarter-finals. And that despite the fact that the SGE fans have not been spoiled by their team recently. In the league, they suffered three defeats in a row. At the weekend, there was the arrogance attack that was viewed very critically in the media, but which should also have sharpened the senses again. The Europa League is the team’s favorite competition, and especially in their own stadium, the eagle bearers have only had a few lapses in the recent past at international level.

In addition, the guests will have to do without their captain and their regular goalkeeper. The Ajax defense did not make a good impression in the first leg either, so I expect Eintracht to put their Dutch opponents in their place again. My Frankfurt vs. Ajax Amsterdam betting tip is therefore for the home win, which is rewarded with 1.95 at Betway.