Who will underpin the CL ambitions?
At the moment, there are many indications that the Bundesliga will have a debutant in the Champions League in the coming season. The two hottest contenders for one of the vacant starting places for the Champions League are FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg, who currently occupy third and fifth places in the standings. On Saturday afternoon, the in-form teams will face each other in a direct duel. At the betting base, you can find out why the tip for the host is lower in price between Mainz and Freiburg.
The role of favorites of the zero fives can be explained primarily by the fact that four Bundesliga games in a row have been won recently and the team of coach Bo Henriksen has been extremely consistent for weeks, especially at home. Nevertheless, the forecast for home success before the duel between Mainz and Freiburg also involves risks. After all, the guests from the Breisgau region only know the feeling of conceding a goal from stories. It has been almost two months since SCF goalkeeper Atubolu had to reach behind him in the league.
Apart from that, the last success of the Rhine Hessians against the sports club has been a long time in the past. If you still want to place a bet on the host’s victory, odds of 2.05 are available at Interwetten for the Mainz-Freiburg game. As a new customer, the Interwetten welcome bonus offers you a doubled deposit of up to 100 euros.
Mainz vs. Freiburg prediction AI
In the match between FSV Mainz and SC Freiburg, the artificial intelligence does not go quite so far out on a limb. The “BETSiE” assessments are largely in line with the bookmakers’ odds. The Mainz vs. Freiburg AI prediction is therefore for the Under 2.5. The home win for the Rhine Hessians would also be signed by the artificial intelligence according to its data-based simulation.
Mainz – Statistics & current form
FSV Mainz 05 is currently playing the best Bundesliga season in the club’s history. 44 points after 25 match days have never been achieved by the long-standing first division club! The well-deserved consequence of this impressive haul is third place behind Bayern and Leverkusen. Although the club is still reluctant to talk about the Champions League, the great starting position and, above all, the remarkable consistency are allowing everyone involved to dream of participating in the premier league for the first time.
Mainz impresses with intensity and stability
The stability of Henriksen’s team was evident over the last two weekends. Two absolute statement victories, 2-1 at RB Leipzig and 3-1 at Mönchengladbach, were well deserved. Overall, the Rhine Hessians have won four Bundesliga games in a row. There has only been one other instance of more consecutive wins in the Bundesliga history of the “zero-fives”: in 2010/11 under Thomas Tuchel.
The recipe for success of the red-and-whites is based on many pillars. On the one hand, the third-placed team is able to bring brutal intensity to the field. Judging by the various statistics, FSV has the third-best pressing in the league. On the other hand, this is also accompanied by the second-fewest goals conceded. Goalkeeper Robin Zentner, who is now even being considered as a candidate for the German national team in expert circles, has kept a clean sheet in each of the last four Bundesliga home games, for example. Overall, Mainz have only conceded ten goals in their own stadium – the best record among all 18 Bundesliga teams!
In view of these statistics, we will definitely keep the betting odds for the Mainz v Freiburg match in mind for the under-goals. A match combo from the double chance 1X in connection with a limited number of hits also seems sensible. Nadiem Amiri, who has been in outstanding form recently, has already scored six goals and, in this form, is likely to feature in the notes of national coach Julian Nagelsmann. For an Amiri goal, you can get a top rate of 4.50 at Bet365 and, if you win, benefit from a quick payout at Bet365.
Freiburg – Statistics & current form
Not only FSV Mainz 05, but SC Freiburg has also had a really good season so far. While many experts and supporters feared that the sports club would need a little time to compensate for the departure of iconic coach Christian Streich, his successor Julian Schuster proved all doubters wrong. 41 points after 25 match days are currently enough to secure fifth place in the table. A return to the international stage is definitely within the realm of possibility. Especially if the team from the Breisgau region of Germany continues to perform as consistently as it has in recent weeks.
Freiburg is currently almost unbeatable defensively
On January 25, SCF keeper Noah Atubolu last conceded a Bundesliga goal. This was followed by six Bundesliga clean sheets in a row. The U21 national team goalkeeper has now gone 540 minutes without conceding a goal, beating the club record held by legend Richie Golz.
Logically, the southern Germans also remained unbeaten in the aforementioned six games, but had to settle for a goalless draw on each of the last two matchdays. If you fancy a 0-0 scoreline, you can find odds of 11.00 between Mainz and Augsburg, which can be played risk-free with an Interwetten voucher, for example. The guests would probably be very satisfied with a point in the carnival stronghold, because Schuster’s team has occasionally shown its problems away from home.
Two-thirds of all wins this season have been celebrated in their own stadium (eight out of twelve). By contrast, only four wins have been recorded away from home. Furthermore, only ten goals have been scored by the Black Foresters in away games, which is the fewest in the league. It must also be stated that the Black Foresters primarily collect points against clubs that are placed behind them in the standings. They have suffered a series of defeats against the top teams in the Bundesliga, which now undoubtedly includes Mainz. This is one of the reasons why my Mainz vs. Freiburg prediction tends to favor the home side.
Mainz – Freiburg direct comparison / H2H record
31 meetings have taken place between these clubs in the Bundesliga so far. With 14 wins, FSV Mainz 05 leads the direct comparison. Nine encounters ended in a draw, while Freiburg celebrated eight wins. Curiously, however, a different picture has emerged in the recent past, because the Rhine Hessians have not scored a goal against the Breisgauer in seven Bundesliga duels. Five of these seven matches ended in a draw. The first leg ended – how could it be otherwise – goalless. In any case, a bet on Under 2.5 would have been successful four times in a row.
Mainz – Freiburg betting tip
Two of the currently strongest Bundesliga teams will cross swords in the MEWA Arena on Saturday afternoon. The winner of the direct duel between Mainz and Freiburg will take a further step towards a European Cup, possibly even the UEFA Champions League. I see slight advantages for the hosts, who have not conceded a goal at home in four consecutive games, won four in a row last time out and can make life difficult for any opponent with their pressing.
Although Freiburg have not lost any of their last six Bundesliga matches, Schuster’s team have only been convincing at times. It is also no secret that the Breisgauer primarily get their points against opponents from the middle of the table or the bottom of the table. In addition to a potential bet on under-goals, I recommend a tip on the home win between Mainz and Freiburg, which can be played at Interwetten for a 2.05.