Will Jack Draper take the title in Indian Wells?

Neither Carlos Alcaraz nor Novak Djokovic nor Alexander Zverev – with Holger Rune and Jack Draper there are two surprising finalists at the Masters in Indian Wells 2025. While the Scandinavian benefited from a comparatively easy route into the final, the Brit caused a major upset in the current competition – including the victory against Carlos Alcaraz. Our Holger Rune vs. Jack Draper betting tip is therefore also on the British favorite.

Before his surprising semi-final victory against the favored Spaniard, the 23-year-old from Great Britain had already caused a stir against players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz. He celebrated two consecutive victories against the two local matadors without losing a set. Jack Draper also won the explosive showdown against Joao Fonseca at the tournament opener.

Nevertheless, it should be noted that Holger Rune leads the direct comparison against Jack Draper. The Scandinavian won their first duel in August 2024 in Cincinnati in two sets and thus leads the head-to-head. Therefore, anyone who wants to make a prediction for the final between Holger Rune and Jack Draper based on the world rankings would be wise to look at the 13th-ranked player.

Holger Rune – Statistics & current form

Holger Rune is in the final of a Masters for the fourth time in his current career. In the three previous finals – two of them in 2023 – the 21-year-old failed twice on clay courts. Only the ATP Masters 2022 in Paris did Holger Rune surprisingly win with a three-set victory against Novak Djokovic.

This year, he now has the next chance to win a prestigious title at the 1000 level. The course of the tournament in Indian Wells is certainly surprising, because just one week before the Masters in California, Holger Rune had to withdraw from the ATP tournament in Mexico in the second round due to injury. Since then, he has won five matches in a row in Indian Wells and has thus reached the final.

In these five encounters, the Scandinavian only lost two sets. In the semi-final, Holger Rune even managed to win without losing a set, beating the sixth-ranked Medvedev 2-0. The youngster won 48 of 70 points after his own service games. His success rate of 40% on his opponent’s serve was also commendable.

Will Holger Rune take the momentum from the semi-final with him?

In the previous round, Holger Rune did not make the best impression. Against a player like Tallon Griekspoor, the world number 13 even went 0-1 behind. It was only after losing the set that the Scandinavian managed the comeback, including winning a set without losing a game (6-0) against the Dutch quarter-final opponent.

In the final, the supposed underdog from Denmark will not hide either. Holger Rune already met Jack Draper in Cincinnati last year and beat the Briton in two sets on American soil. Against the strong-serving opponent, there were even three breaks for Holger Rune in two sets.

The return game will also be decisive this time. If the 21-year-old defies the Briton’s serve, there is a realistic chance of winning in Indian Wells and thus the second title win at the 1000 level. Betting fans who want to place a bet on the Scandinavian in the Rune vs. Draper match can also use the Interwetten free bet to minimize their own risk.

Jack Draper – statistics & current form

Jack Draper is currently on a roll. The youngster from Great Britain had no luck with the draw in India Wells and had to play a difficult route. The 23-year-old’s surprise appearance in the final is all the more surprising. After beating Joao Fonseca in two sets in the tournament opener, there was no loss of sets in the following rounds either – mind you, until the semi-finals.

Particularly commendable were the results against Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton. In both matches, Jack Draper not only kept his opponents from taking a set, but also beat the two powerful-serving Americans without needing a tiebreak. The series of straight-set victories only ended in the semi-final against Carlos Alcaraz.

The world number 14 won the first set 6-1. In the second set, however, the Brit was miserably outplayed and lost without winning a game 0-6. However, Jack Draper showed a defiant reaction after the disappointing second set and went on to beat the favored Spaniard 6-4 in the deciding set.

Does Jack Draper still have enough strength for the final?

The match against Carlos Alcaraz was exhausting. After all, apart from the first set, there were no “easy” service games for the Briton, even though 64% of the points were won after the first service game over the course of the match. It remains to be seen how the 23-year-old will perform in the final after the almost two-hour semi-final against Carlos Alcaraz, but the best odds for the Briton to win are available at NEO.Bet sports betting.

It is Jack Draper’s first appearance in the final of a Masters tournament. In his current career, the Briton has so far only won two titles on the tour. The last time was in October 2024 at the Wien Open 2024. This calendar year, the youngster was already in the final of the Qatar Open 2025, where he only lost to Andrey Rublev in the final.

If you think the British favorite will win the upcoming match, you can currently get betting odds of up to 1.54 for a Holger Rune vs. Jack Draper tip. The Brit can thus also equalize the direct comparison.

Holger Rune – Jack Draper Direct comparison / H2H record

Last year, the two players met in Cincinnati. Holger Rune beat Jack Draper in two sets, without dropping a single service game. The Scandinavian played with an 80% first serve success rate in this encounter. Jack Draper even managed 83%, but the world number 14 had the worse second serve rate.

Holger Rune – Jack Draper Betting tip

Given the way both players have performed in the tournament, it is understandable that Jack Draper will approach the 2025 Indian Wells final as the favorite. The Briton had a difficult route and has already eliminated some high-profile opponents along the way. His tournament opener against Joao Fonseca was no easy task either. His semi-final victory against a player like Carlos Alcaraz was also commendable.

In four of his last five matches, Jack Draper has not lost a set. Only in the semi-final against the favored Spaniard did the British youngster have to give up a set. The winning streak is now set to continue in the final. It is Draper’s first final at the 1000 level. Holger Rune, on the other hand, is taking part in a Masters final for the fourth time. The Scandinavian has failed in two of his last three appearances.

We are also ruling out a tournament victory for Holger Rune this time and consider Jack Draper to be stronger in the current situation. Our Rune vs. Draper tip is for a favorites’ victory at reasonable betting odds. NEO.Bet offers some of the best odds on the winner market. Alternatively, bets on Jack Draper winning in two sets are also recommended.