Will Arsenal continue their good run?

On Saturday, Arsenal FC will face Brentford FC in the English Premier League. In advance, the roles seem to be quite clearly distributed, because while the hosts have almost secured a place in the Champions League, the guests are only in the middle of the Premier League. In addition, Mikel Arteta’s team has already collected 20 points more and is therefore on a completely different level. The odds for Arsenal v Brentford reflect this.

In our Arsenal v Brentford prediction, we now want to check whether the betting odds for a home win are worthwhile. We start with the home and away record of the two teams and come to a clear result. The Gunners are very strong at home and have already picked up 34 points from 15 home games. What’s more, the hosts have only lost a single league game at the Emirates Stadium. It is therefore very unlikely that the visitors, who have picked up 17 points in 15 away games, will take anything away from this game.

Arsenal – Stats & current form

Arsenal’s season is currently very difficult to assess, because as reigning vice-champions, expectations for the new season were high. With 62 points from 31 games, however, it will not be enough for the championship this year either. In addition, Mikel Arteta’s team has already been knocked out of the FA Cup and the EFL Cup. In the Champions League, however, things are going even better, because after beating Real Madrid 3-0 in the first leg, the Gunners already have one foot in the semi-finals. Is the focus therefore more on the Champions League? Yes and no, because second place is not yet 100% secured either.

Arsenal without a real striker

With Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz, the Gunners only have two center forwards in their squad. The club has definitely gambled away here, because both players are currently injured and force Arteta to play without a striker. But with 56 goals in 31 league games (Ø 1.81), this is hardly noticeable. Strictly speaking, only three teams, Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham, only three teams scored more often. In addition, the home side have only been without a goal five times, finding the way into the opposing team’s box in 84% of the games. At home, the rate is even better at 86%. We therefore firmly expect the home side to score.

Arsenal also very strong defensively

With only 26 goals conceded in 31 games (Ø 0.84), the hosts have by far the best defense in the Premier League. Even the current league leaders from Liverpool have had to clear the ball from their own net four times more often. In addition, the Gunners have kept a clean sheet on eleven occasions, conceding a goal in just 65% of league games. At home, the rate is even better at just 60%. So, at first glance, a clean sheet against Brentford doesn’t seem that unlikely. However, they didn’t manage that in the last two games.

Brentford – statistics & current form

Brentford can be absolutely satisfied with the season so far, because with 42 points from 31 games, Thomas Frank’s team is in a secure mid-table position. That was not necessarily to be expected before this season, because the Bees only finished the previous season in 16th place and at times even played for relegation. However, the visitors have nothing to do with relegation this year and are already 22 points ahead of the red zone. So in the last seven games, the only thing on the agenda for the away team is to achieve the best possible finish. Realistically, Brentford will finish in 10th to 13th place.

Brentford has plenty of scoring power

With 51 goals in 31 games (Ø 1.65), the Bees’ offense is doing an excellent job. In a league-wide comparison, Thomas Frank’s team is even in seventh place, just behind the best teams in the Premier League. Nevertheless, the guests have been without a goal of their own eight times and have thus found a goal in “only” 74% of league games. However, the rate is slightly better away from home at 80%. Two players in particular, Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, are worth mentioning here, as the attacking duo has already scored 37 points in the league alone. So Arsenal FC will have to be especially careful here.

Brentford is too vulnerable defensively

While things could hardly be going better in offense, the visiting team’s back line has come in for some criticism. With 47 goals conceded in 31 games (Ø 1.52), Thomas Frank’s team is only ranked 15th in the league. Moreover, the visitors have only kept a clean sheet five times, meaning they have conceded at least one goal in 84% of the league games. Without the relief provided by their own offense, the Bees would probably be in the bottom quarter of the table. We therefore firmly expect Arsenal to concede a goal in the Emirates.

Arsenal – Brentford Head to head / H2H record

The facts mentioned so far all point to a home win, but what does a look at the direct comparison show? The H2H comparison also goes to the home side – but much closer than we had expected. The Gunners won only nine of the 20 duels and thus only two more than the Bees. However, the visitors have not won a point for four meetings, which also explains the distribution of the Arsenal v Brentford betting odds.

Arsenal – Brentford betting tip

We can’t get around the Arsenal vs. Brentford betting tip for a home win in this game. The hosts are very strong at home, are in better form and also have significantly more individual quality. In addition, the visitors have one of the weakest defenses in the league and are not particularly good away from home either. On top of that, the Bees have not won a point in four games and last beat the Gunners in 2021. Anything other than a home win would therefore be a surprise.

Alternatively, you can also add the Arsenal vs. Brentford odds for “both teams to score – yes” to your betting slip. The Gunners have one of the best attacks in the league, are almost unstoppable at home and are now facing one of the weakest defenses in the Premier League. A goal from the home team is therefore guaranteed. However, the Bees should not be underestimated either, because with 51 goals in 31 games, Thomas Frank’s team is capable of scoring against any opponent. You can find the best odds for this at Betano.