Will the Gunners lead in the first leg?

Real Madrid are the underdogs in the Champions League when they visit the Gunners from London in the quarter-final first leg. The Whites have not been in top form in the run-up to this game. Last weekend, they even suffered an unexpected defeat in La Liga. It is quite possible that the Blancos could suffer their next setback in London. Our Arsenal v Real Madrid betting tip does not rule out this scenario.
The Gunners have not lost a single home game on the international stage this season. In five home games in the Champions League, Arsenal have a record of 4-1-0. They will be looking to extend that record against Real Madrid. The last time the two clubs met in the last 16 of the Champions League in 2005/06, Arsenal drew 0-0 at home. Nevertheless, the Gunners still progressed with a 1-0 aggregate score to secure their place in the quarter-finals.

Considering how weak the Madrilenians have been lately, it makes sense to place a bet on the home side in the upcoming match between Arsenal and Real Madrid. Merkur Bets offers some of the best odds for this. New customers can also get a welcome bonus.

Arsenal vs. Real Madrid prediction AI

Supercomputer BETSiE expects a close encounter between the two clubs. The Gunners are predicted to have an xG ratio of 1.59. Real Madrid, on the other hand, have an xG ratio of 1.32. According to the AI, bets on Over 2.5 goals are therefore by no means outlandish. As an alternative to a tip on at least three goals in the game, bets on “both teams to score” can also be considered here.

Arsenal – statistics & current form

In the league, the Gunners have recently fallen short of expectations and with another winless league game against Everton, they have probably squandered their chances of making a comeback in the championship race. It was the fourth league game in the last six Premier League matchdays in which Mikel Arteta’s team had already failed to win.

During the week, the focus is now on the Champions League. The Gunners have home advantage in the first leg and are slight favorites.
Since the defeat against WHU, Arsenal have not lost any of their last seven competitive games, recording a record of 3-4-0 in that period. Among other things, there was also a comfortable win to celebrate on foreign soil. The Gunners beat PSV Eindhoven 7-1 on foreign soil. In the second leg, a draw at home was enough to reach the quarter-finals of the CL 2024/25 with a total score of 9-3.

Can Arsenal flex their offensive muscles against Real Madrid too?

The Gunners’ offensive power in their own ranks, among other things, speaks in their favor. Against the recently weakened Madrid defense, it is likely only a matter of time before Arsenal score for the first time in the quarter-final first leg. The Londoners have never lost a game against Real Madrid. In two head-to-head encounters – both in the 2005/06 season – Arsenal remained unbeaten against the Madrilenians (1-1-0).

Arsenal’s record at home against Spanish clubs is also encouraging. Across all competitions, Arsenal have only lost three of a total of 18 home games against clubs from the Spanish top flight at the international level. In these 18 encounters, the Gunners have a record of 10-5-3. It is worth noting that two of those three defeats were against FC Barcelona.

Mikel Arteta has to do without at least six players in the squad against Real Madrid. Among others, Raheem Sterling, who will not be able to play in the first leg due to a suspension. Compared to the team that played in the league last weekend, minimal changes can be expected on the part of the Gunners.

Real Madrid – Statistics & current form

Real Madrid blew their dress rehearsal before the match against the Gunners. After losing in the Copa del Rey against Real Sociedad – the final ticket was only resolved in extra time – there was a bitter defeat in La Liga against Valencia CF. The next setback now looms as they travel to London. The Blancos have only won two of their last five away games.

If you still want to bet on the guests at Arsenal vs. Real Madrid, you can use a free bet with no deposit required to minimize your own risk. In the knockout phase of the Champions League, the Whites have recorded a record of 11-5-6 in their last 22 meetings against English clubs.

In the current season, Carlo Ancelotti’s team have already faced three clubs from the Premier League. Real Madrid lost the match against Liverpool in the group stage of the Champions League. In the knockout phase, however, they celebrated two consecutive wins against Manchester City. In these two encounters, the Whites scored six goals.

Can Real Madrid withstand the Gunners’ offensive power?

In their current form, however, it remains to be seen how the Whites will perform in the quarter-final first leg in London. Real Madrid did not make a positive impression either against Real Sociedad or against Valencia CF. In these two encounters, the score was six times to the good of the visitors.

In fact, they have not kept a clean sheet since the 1-0 win over Real Sociedad almost two months ago. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last eight competitive games. The negative streak is likely to continue against the Gunners from London.

Carlo Ancelotti will be without at least five players against Arsenal, including Aurélien Tchouaméni, who will miss the match in London through suspension. Internationally, Mbappé and Vinicius lead the scoring charts for Real Madrid. Both players have scored seven goals each and are potential goalscorers against Arsenal.

Arsenal – Real Madrid head to head / H2H record

The two clubs have only met each other twice in the past. Arsenal remained unbeaten in both encounters. Arsenal won the first game in February 2006 1-0 on the road. The second game, at home, ended in a goalless draw.

Arsenal – Real Madrid Tip

Real Madrid travel to London as underdogs. After the defeat against Real Sociedad – in regulation time, mind you – and the home defeat against Valencia, the match against the Gunners from London is not at all convenient. Arsenal have not lost any of their last seven competitive games and are brimming with confidence.

In these seven encounters, the Gunners have a record of 3-4-0. Arsenal already rolled over PSV Eindhoven in the previous round, posting a total score of 9-3. If they continue in the same vein, an offensive spectacle against their upcoming opponents from Madrid cannot be ruled out. The Real Madrid defense has not made a good impression lately.

We expect a goal-filled match and dare to tip on over 2.5 goals in the game. Merkur Bets offers some of the best odds for this. We are betting five units for our prognosis. Alternatively, bets on a home win for the Gunners are also recommended.