Has Eintracht gotten over their European exit?
The dream of a second Europa League triumph after 2022 is over since Thursday evening. Eintracht Frankfurt lost 0-1 at home to Tottenham Hotspur Football Club in the quarter-final second leg, thus being eliminated after a 1-1 draw in the first leg in London. However, the fact that the double burden has been lifted and the team can now focus fully on securing third place in the Bundesliga could actually play into SGE’s hands for the upcoming tasks. In the short term, however, the European knockout threatens to have a negative impact on the Augsburg vs. Frankfurt tip on Easter Sunday.
In addition to the physical exertion that two weeks of English football and intense matches at a high level automatically entail, it also remains to be seen whether the young Eagles will be able to get back to full strength mentally. Less than 100% will probably not be enough on the weekend in the 30th matchday of the Bundesliga for a prediction of an away win between Augsburg and Frankfurt to pay off. After all, FCA is one of the best teams in the second half of the season, proving to be one of the most difficult opponents in the league in 2025.
Augsburg vs. Frankfurt prediction AI
Surprisingly, artificial intelligence’s assessment of the FCA vs. SGE match paints a fairly clear picture in favor of Toppmöller’s team. Unlike the bookmakers, who even give the Fuggerstadt team better chances of winning, “BETSiE” is convinced that the third-placed team from the Main metropolis will prevail at the WWK Arena. Calculated xG values of 1.01 to 1.35 imply a probability of victory for Eintracht of over 46%, which significantly exceeds the bookmakers’ 35%.
Augsburg – Statistics & current form
Never before in its Bundesliga history has FC Augsburg had more points after 29 matchdays than it currently has. Although the 42 points collected are only enough for tenth place at the moment, the gap to sixth-placed Freiburg, who would currently qualify for the Conference League, is only three points. In any case, people in Augsburg are wondering what might have been possible if coach Jess Thorup’s team had performed in the first half of the season as they have been doing regularly in the 2025 calendar year…
Augsburg’s defense continues to set the standard in the 2025 Bundesliga season
A glance at the second half of the season table underlines that FCA has played an outstanding half of the season so far. In twelve second-half matches, Augsburg have recorded six wins, shared the points five times and suffered only one defeat so far – a 1-3 home defeat against FC Bayern, when the last two goals were scored after a controversial sending-off for Cedric Zesiger.
Red card is a good keyword here, because last week the tenth-placed team decimated themselves again with a red card against Arne Maier. Nevertheless, they came away with a 2-1 win in Bochum, which impressively demonstrated how stable and solid the red, green, and white team is at the moment. Mentality, morale, and discipline are values that have been more than internalized by everyone involved in the southernmost corner of Swabia.
That is precisely why I believe that on Easter Sunday, between Augsburg and Frankfurt, a prediction of a point for the home side will once again be crowned with success. For a combination of the double chance 1X with a maximum of four goals in the game, the Betano app is offering odds of 1.65.
In general, under bets are definitely of interest in connection with FCA. In the eleven second-half matches mentioned, keeper Finn Dahmen only had to pick the ball out of the net seven times. In total, only 21 goals were scored, which is less than two per game on average. Few goals during the game also increase the likelihood of a point being shared. Especially after 45 minutes, there are signs of another draw. In seven of Augsburg’s last nine games, the score was level at half-time, six of those games ending 0-0. For a goalless first half on Easter Sunday, you can get odds of 3.05 on the Augsburg vs. Frankfurt match at Interwetten.
Frankfurt – Statistics & current form
It wasn’t meant to be! Although Eintracht Frankfurt did not make a bad impression in the first and second legs and could definitely have progressed with a slightly better conversion rate, especially in front of their home crowd, they lost 0-1 after 90 minutes, sealing their elimination from the Europa League against Tottenham. Now the team can focus all its attention on the Bundesliga, where coach Dino Toppmöller’s side remains in a near-perfect position in the battle for Champions League spots.
Will Eintracht be robbed of its offensive strength in Augsburg?
Thanks to three wins from their last four league games, the Hessians have consolidated their third place and now have a five-point lead over the fifth-placed team. The last time Frankfurt were among the top three in the German top flight at such a late stage in the season was in 1994/95. Incidentally, the coach at the time was, curiously enough, Dino’s father, Klaus Toppmöller. It is very likely that they will ultimately qualify for the Champions League again, as since the introduction of the three-point rule, only one team, VfB Stuttgart, has squandered a five-point lead in the last five matchdays.
Nevertheless, in my opinion, the Augsburg vs. Frankfurt odds for an away win at the weekend should be treated with caution. The SGE has lacked the necessary consistency in recent weeks and months, especially away from home. They have won only one of their last five Bundesliga away games (1-2-2). In fact, Ekitiké and Co. have scored more than one goal in only two of their last seven away games.
The FCA’s rock-solid defense now presents the ultimate challenge for Eintracht’s fast-paced attack, which, however, will not get as much depth behind the opponent’s back line as it did last time. With Mario Götze, their most important creative player, also injured on Thursday, there are many indications that Toppmöller’s team may lack the ideas to create gaps from a controlled positional game. Ultimately, I would not be surprised if Hessen failed to score at the WWK Arena.
Augsburg – Frankfurt Head-to-head record / H2H record
FC Augsburg have only won two consecutive home games against Eintracht Frankfurt once in Bundesliga history (2013, 2014). After a 2-1 home win in December 2023, the Fuggerstadt club now has the chance to secure two home wins in a row, although they have only managed one win in their last ten Bundesliga encounters with the Hessians (1-4-5). In the first leg, however, the South Swabians put up a very good fight against their opponents from the Main. After a goalless first half, events came thick and fast in the second half, with the teams ultimately having to settle for a 2-2 draw.
Augsburg – Frankfurt Tip
Looking at the second half of the season table, FC Augsburg are by no means underdogs against Eintracht Frankfurt on Easter Sunday. The Fuggerstadt club have already picked up five points more than their upcoming opponents in the second half of the season and have lost only one Bundesliga match since mid-January. Because Thorup’s team has conceded only seven goals in eleven second-half games and gained a lot of confidence with a 2-1 win in Bochum last week despite being a man down, I don’t believe in an away win for the Eagles, who may still be mentally shaken after their Europa League exit.
Considering the quality of the visitors, I’m not going to bet on the three-way market and instead recommend betting on the match between Augsburg and Frankfurt being tied at halftime. On the one hand, the South Swabians have not been ahead in seven of their last nine Bundesliga matches. On the other hand, a low-scoring encounter is to be expected, which further increases the likelihood of a point being shared, whether after 45 or 90 minutes. Winamax is offering 2.15 for a draw at half-time, which I am betting five units on.