Will the Blues get the win they need?

While the race for the PL championship seems to be decided with Liverpool leading Arsenal by eleven points, the battle for the Champions League places is really close behind. There are just six points between third-placed Nottingham and seventh-placed Aston Villa.

The good news for all involved is that, as things stand, England will probably provide at least five starters in the next Champions League edition. It is therefore also likely that the Blues from London will be sniffing Champions League air again in 2025/26 before the game between Chelsea and Ipswich.

The home game against the third-last of the tableau is nothing more than an absolute must-win game for the former Cup winners, who are currently still in fourth place. However, at the end of December, the tip for the capital club also seemed to be a formality between Chelsea and Ipswich. However, the “Tractor Boys” overrode the usual mechanisms at home and won 2-0. The Blues are therefore not only out for the important three points, but equally for revenge.

Chelsea – statistics & current form

After an interim crisis in form with only two wins from ten PL games between Christmas and mid-February, Chelsea Football Club has clearly stabilized again in recent weeks. The team of coach Enzo Maresca has scored ten points in their last five matches. The four-match losing streak in away games was also stopped with the 0-0 last weekend in the London derby at Brentford FC. With a view to the quite complicated remaining program, the CL qualification will definitely not be a sure thing.

Chelsea’s home strength becomes a fact in the race for the CL tickets

Because there are still matches against Liverpool, at Fulham, at Newcastle or at Nottingham Forest on the agenda in the final stretch, three points at home on Sunday afternoon are firmly planned and there is no alternative. This is also underlined by the Chelsea vs. Ipswich betting odds on the three-way market, which imply a 76% probability of victory in favor of the capital city team.

This one-sided assessment is primarily due to their home strength. Chelsea have recently won five consecutive Premier League matches at home, scoring 11 goals and conceding just two. Incidentally, the last time the Blues had six consecutive PL home wins was almost five years ago under Frank Lampard. In 2025, CFC are still completely unbeaten in the league at home. Three times in a row, the team in fourth place in the table did not even concede a goal, underlining their new defensive strength.

For the upcoming match between Chelsea and Ipswich, however, my prediction is still a home win, including conceding a goal, which is primarily due to the fact that the guests are regularly good for scoring goals. At Betano, a 2.57 quote can be found for the aforementioned combination, for all new customers, also taking advantage of the €20 free bet from Betano. Incidentally, the Conference League quarter-final first leg at Legia Warsaw on Thursday evening plays no role at all in my considerations. Maresca once again fielded a B-team and still celebrated a commanding 3-0 away win that has opened the door to the semi-finals.

Ipswich – Statistics & current form

Ipswich Town’s exciting Premier League adventure will end after just one season. The underdogs, who made the leap from the third-tier League One to the English top flight within two years, are twelve (!) points behind the safe haven with seven games to go and therefore only have a mathematical chance of avoiding relegation.

Until last week, the mission still seemed at least remotely realistic, but instead of beating their only direct competitor from Wolverhampton and thus reducing the gap to six points, they suffered a 2-1 defeat that could have broken the team of coach Kieran McKenna mentally.

Because the first match after the almost certain relegation to the Championship is coming up at the weekend, it is to be expected that the “Tractor Boys” will possibly play without worries, but at the same time may also lack the last degree of seriousness and concentration in the important moments.

Ipswich is facing its 20th defeat in this PL season

At least scoring a goal is within the realm of possibility for the third-last. On the one hand, the sensational promoted team has taken almost twice as many points away from home (13) as it has at home (seven) this season. On the other hand, Ipswich did not go without scoring in ten of the 15 PL matches they played away from home. They even managed to win their last away game in Bournemouth 2-1. Incidentally, that was one of only twelve games that Town did not lose this season. This weekend, they could suffer their 20th defeat in this PL season.

The odds on goals by both teams or over 2.5, which was quoted at 1.47 in the Interwetten app, are of primary interest between Chelsea and Ipswich, and could possibly be used as part of your combination bet.

Chelsea – Ipswich direct comparison / H2H record

The first leg has already been discussed. Two days before the turn of the year, Ipswich Town surprisingly won 2-0 at home and could now win a first leg and second leg in the English top flight against the Blues for the first time in almost 50 years (!). Ultimately, however, the H2h has little relevance for the upcoming match, as the teams last met in 2011, with the exception of the most recent direct duel. The last PL matches took place around the turn of the millennium…

Chelsea – Ipswich Tip

For Enzo Mareca and his Blues from London, a home win on Sunday afternoon against the quasi-relegated team from Ipswich is non-negotiable. Anything other than a commanding triumph for the Chelsea players, who are of course on a different level in terms of quality, would be a huge sensation and at the same time a bitter disappointment for the capital city club, which already lost in the first leg but can now basically rely on home advantage. After five PL home wins in a row with an average of more than two goals scored and only two goals conceded, the chances of bagging their sixth home win in a row are exorbitantly good.

If you consider that McKenna’s team lost their last shred of hope last weekend by losing to Wolverhampton, regularly reached their limits throughout the season and conceded a total of 69 goals, then in my opinion it is even an option to bet on the handicap success (-1.5) of the home team between Chelsea and Ipswich. For an expected favorite’s victory with at least a two-goal lead, NEO.bet is offering 1.80, which I am using to bet six out of a possible ten units.