Will Eintracht take advantage of their first small match point?
The battle for the two vacant Champions League spots, three and four, is currently providing the most excitement in the Bundesliga. Eight teams, including FC Augsburg in tenth place, are battling it out for the two direct tickets to the 25/26 Champions League. The two teams currently in the most promising positions will face each other on Saturday evening in the top match of the 31st matchday in the Bundesliga. There are good reasons to bet on Eintracht Frankfurt to win the match against RB Leipzig.
Compared to the Bulls, who had to settle for a 1-1 draw against Holstein Kiel last week, SGE has been much more convincing in recent games. Added to this is the home advantage, which traditionally carries a lot of weight for the 2022 Europa League champions. Nevertheless, when looking at the Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig prediction, it must also be taken into account that the Saxons have won both previous encounters this season. Both in the first half of the Bundesliga season and in the round of 16 of the DFB Cup.
However, Marco Rose was still in charge of RB in those two games. Zsolt Löw is now at the helm and could even catch up with Julian Nagelsmann in the best-case scenario this weekend. If the odds for a Frankfurt win in the top-of-the-table clash between Frankfurt and RB Leipzig prove accurate, Zsolt would be only the second Leipzig coach – alongside the current national team coach – to start his tenure with two consecutive Bundesliga away wins.
Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig prediction AI
The 2.25 odds offered by Interwetten for a home win imply a 44% probability of occurrence. According to artificial intelligence, the odds are even better for the Hessians. “BETSiE” has calculated xG values of 1.99 to 1.33 in favor of SGE, which in turn means a probability of victory of over 53%. Since the artificial intelligence’s expectation is thus significantly higher than that of the bookmakers, the Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig AI prediction is aiming for a home win and also offers very attractive value.
Frankfurt – Statistics & current form
There is huge hope in the Eintracht Frankfurt camp that the club will be able to compete against the continent’s best teams in Europe’s most important club competition again next season. This hope is based on the current league table, which sees SGE in third place, already five points ahead of fifth place. Also interesting: although no third-placed team in the last seven years has ever had as few points as Eintracht currently has (52) after 30 Bundesliga games, this haul was enough for a top-four finish in 90% of all cases at this stage of the season.
Will Frankfurt celebrate their third Bundesliga home win in a row?
After a temporary slump with only one win in seven league games, the Black and Reds have recently stabilized again. They have picked up ten points from their last five games. Only away at Werder Bremen did they suffer a deserved 0-2 defeat. Last weekend’s 0-0 draw in Augsburg, however, was more of an “unlucky” result, as the Hessians played well away from home and were only thwarted time and again by the crowded FCA defense and their own inability to convert their chances.
In general, the Toppmöller team’s recent performances have been characterized by a lack of goals. Just six goals have been scored in the last four SGE matches. In three of the four cases, the players from the Main metropolis didn’t even concede a goal. The last two home games were also won with a clean sheet.
In any case, their home strength, reflected in nine wins from 15 games (9-3-3), is a major asset that justifies a potential Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig prediction of a home win. On the two-way market (DNB), for example, odds of 1.62 can be found on the Betano app.
RB Leipzig – Statistics & current form
Regardless of what the final sprint in the Bundesliga brings, the season summary for RB officials will be anything but positive. In the Champions League, they suffered seven defeats in eight games and thus an embarrassing exit from the league phase. In the DFB Cup, the Saxons squandered another chance at a title with their quarter-final defeat to VfB Stuttgart, and in the Bundesliga, the Bulls have been inconsistent at best. If they do indeed lose their Champions League spot in the remaining four matchdays, it would be a complete disaster.
Incidentally, anyone looking to place a bet before the difficult away game in the Main metropolis that coach Zsolt Löw’s team will finish the season in the top four will find odds of 2.35 at Bwin ahead of the Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig match.
RB Leipzig still lacking conviction
However, doubts are definitely justified at this point, because although the change of coach from Marco Rose to Zsolt Löw brought a slight turnaround in terms of results, there is still a lot of room for improvement in terms of performance. This became more than clear last week in the sobering 1-1 draw at home against the bottom team from Kiel. Even against Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, they will need a bit of luck to take all three points.
The defense in particular continues to look shaky, so the visitors will probably need at least two goals at Deutsche Bank Park to avoid returning to the central German city empty-handed. Although seven points from three Bundesliga games under Löw is a respectable haul, surpassed only by SV Werder Bremen in the last three matchdays, I think the odds for Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig on Saturday evening should be treated with caution.
Although the Saxons can’t really afford to slip up given their remaining fixtures and upcoming games against FC Bayern, Bremen, and Stuttgart, a draw would probably be enough to satisfy the fans.
Frankfurt – RB Leipzig Head-to-head record / H2H record
The teams have already faced each other twice this season. Leipzig won the DFB Cup clash in the round of 16 at the beginning of December with a clear 3-0 victory. Eleven days later, the Saxons finally prevailed in the Bundesliga with a 2-1 win. However, home advantage could be the game changer on Saturday evening, as SGE have yet to lose a single competitive game at home (4-5-0). Five of Frankfurt’s eight Bundesliga home games have ended in a draw. Overall, a bet on a draw would have paid off in eight of the 17 meetings between the two sides in the German top flight.
Frankfurt – RB Leipzig Tip
The top match of the 31st Bundesliga matchday brings with it an interesting constellation. Eintracht Frankfurt and RB Leipzig, currently third and fourth in the table, face each other directly. The Hessians are currently three points ahead of the Saxons and would open the door to the 2025/26 Champions League with a win in front of their own fans.
However, the visitors from the central German city are also looking to improve their position and remain unbeaten in their fourth Bundesliga match under new coach Zsolt Löw. Despite picking up seven points from their first three games, the Bulls are still not striking fear into their opponents following the change on the sidelines. The players from the energy drink empire have fallen short of expectations throughout the season, particularly away from home.
Considering Hessen’s home strength, having won nine of their 15 Bundesliga home games this season and never lost a competitive game against RB Leipzig at their own stadium (4-5-0), I don’t believe in an away win and will instead try Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig tip on 1X & Under 4.5. Betano is offering odds of 1.70 for this, which is worth a stake of six units to me. Feel free to check out the new Beidfüßig video on the Bundesliga for detailed analysis, result tips, and a combination bet. There’s no shortage of humor and entertaining commentary either.