Lack of goals in Andalusia?
The visiting Basques are traveling in fourth place and are on course for the next edition of the Champions League with this placement! Is a Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao tip for a three-pointer from the San Mamés men now worthwhile?
The timing of the game speaks against it. Coach Ernesto Valverde’s team had to play in the Europa League this week and the second leg against AS Roma last Thursday evening will still be in the visitors’ legs.
It ended with a 3-1 home win, which turned the defeat from the first leg on the Tiber into a victory and booked the ticket for the quarter-finals in the competition. For the clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, the prediction is now for fewer than 2.5 goals.
Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction AI
BETSiE has also taken a close look at the match and, weighing up the calculated probabilities of victory and the available odds, has decided on a tip for the guests. The AI has calculated a probability of 44.9 percent for the Basques to win.
This value is above the odds of 2.50 at Bet365, which corresponds to a probability of 41.7 percent. In light of this difference, the Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao AI prediction is for an away win.
Sevilla – statistics & current form
The Andalusians only finished 14th in La Liga last season and are currently tenth in the current edition of the Spanish top flight, so they are hardly doing better. However, their form is currently on an upward trend. The team from the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán have not lost in four rounds. The previous 4-1 defeat at the table-topping Barcelona has apparently shaken the pride of the team of coach García Pimienta.
This applies especially to the defense, which was still under the Catalans. Since the defeat against the FCB, they conceded only two goals in four league games.
However, there is still room for improvement in offense, and this applies not least to home games in the league. After 13 home matches this season, the attack has only scored a dozen goals – only Alaves and Valladolid have scored fewer. Moreover, the “Blanquirrojos” only scored more than one home goal in a home game against Valladolid in September last year.
No winner between Sevilla and Bilbao?
Against this backdrop, the betting odds for a draw are equally appealing in the showdown between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao. Although the visitors are stronger, they are more tired, which suggests a close game. Moreover, as described, the home side’s defense has been rock solid recently, but the attack can still be described as below average.
Betting odds are offered by Interwetten and the bookmaker also regularly offers Interwetten Freebets, as was recently the case for the European competitions! The additional tip is also supported by the home team’s home statistics: four of Sevilla’s last six league home games have also ended in a draw (1-4-1).
Athletic Bilbao – Statistics & current form
The Basques recently had to do without their top scorer Oihan Sancet. It is not yet clear whether it will be possible for the playmaker to return to the pitch against Sevilla. But even if the Spaniard is able to play, he will not be at 100 percent due to a lack of competitive practice.
Just how important he is for Athletic’s attack can be seen from the fact that the 24-year-old had scored in four league games in a row before his injury at the beginning of the month, including a hat-trick against Girona, who finished third last season.
Ernesto Valverde’s side usually try to start in a very controlled manner in away games. In nine of the 13 away games played this season, the score was tied at half-time! No other team in La Liga has such a high number of away half-time draws.
Another half-time draw between Sevilla and Bilbao?
Since a very even match can be expected anyway, the odds for a repeat draw at half-time in the duel between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao are also interesting. You can find quotes at NEO.bet and we have taken a closer look at the bookmaker.
The additional Europa League games are also taking their toll. Looking back at the last four league appearances after a European match, the “Leones” have only ever managed a draw!
Sevilla – Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record
The “Nervionenses” have been waiting for three attempts at a three against Bilbao (0-1-2). On top of that, they have not scored in half of the last four domestic league games against the 24-time winners of the Copa del Rey (1-1-2). The odds are also slightly in favor of the guests for the upcoming edition of Sevilla against Athletic Bilbao.
Sevilla – Athletic Bilbao Betting Tip
The duel between Sevilla and the guests is a guarantee for fewer goals. A maximum of two goals have been scored in eight duels. For the next edition of Sevilla against Athletic Bilbao, the forecast again includes a maximum of two goals.
However, the prediction is not based solely on the low-scoring statistics of the match. Rather, other current factors suggest that there will be few goals again. These include the recently improved defensive performances of the home side, who, however, continue to have problems in attack.
Furthermore, the guests already had to play in the Europa League this week, which is why no offensive fireworks can be expected from their side, as they have a physical disadvantage due to the additional match in the EL. The ingredients for the next low-scoring match between the two clubs are therefore in place, and the Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao betting tip for under 2.5 goals is particularly appealing in the eyes of the betting community.