Will the capital city club’s downturn continue?
The home “Hispalenses” recently played an annual highlight in the club’s internal season calendar with the “Derbi sevillano”. However, it ended in defeat for coach García Pimienta’s team. Nevertheless, does the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid tip favor the hosts? A few points certainly speak in favor of it.
The guests look back on a disastrous last month. They were knocked out of the Champions League and their chances of winning the title are very slim due to their poor performance in the league.
In addition, the capital city team will be more tired than their opponents, as they have already played against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey this week.
The home side suffered a defeat in the second leg against Flick’s team, meaning that the next chance of winning the title has been lost. For the clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, the prediction is now for a draw.
Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid AI prediction
Our AI has calculated a 46.2 percent probability of victory for the guests in this clash. This value tops the odds of 2.25 available at Oddset for a victory by the capital city club, which corresponds to a probability of 44.4 percent. Against this backdrop, the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid AI tip is for a triumph by the “Colchoneros”.
Sevilla – Statistics & current form
The Andalusians are in the no-man’s-land of 11th place in the table. However, the ranking in the midfield is very balanced this season, which is why, for example, the relegation zone is only nine points away. The 1946 champions should therefore collect a few more points, so they should not lack motivation despite the dismal situation in the table.
However, the form of the “Rojiblancos” leaves room for improvement. Only one victory from the last five rounds and two wins and two draws quickly show this.
Sevilla with room for improvement in attack
One shortcoming at the moment is the weak offense, which scored a meager four goals in the aforementioned review. Although the attacking department was strengthened again during the winter break with Ruben Vargas from Augsburg, it obviously hasn’t made much of a difference.
Moreover, the club’s top scorer in the Spanish top flight, Dodi Lukebiako, is in poor form. The Belgian has not scored in the last three matches.
At the same time, the defense of the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán team is working reliably, so goals in the hosts’ games are currently few and far between. Only one of their last five league games ended with more than two goals.
No more than two goals between Sevilla and Atletico?
In view of this and the fact that the guests will not be fresh physically due to the additional game in the Copa del Rey, the betting odds of less than three goals are also worth considering for the match between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid and can be claimed at Oddset. With the bookmaker, you can also bet on the go thanks to the easy-to-use Oddset app!
The fact that few goals are scored in the home games of the Andalusians anyway also speaks in favor of a low-scoring match: only three of 14 home games have ended with more than 2.5 goals, and the average number of two goals is undercut by the home games of Alaves (1.9) and Getafe (1.6) alone.
The away games of the 1974 World Cup winners are not usually goal festivals either, with nine of Atletico’s 14 away games ending with a maximum of two goals, and no other team in the league conceding fewer goals away from home! The “Nervionenses” also cannot count on a home bonus. Their record in front of their own fans is no better than even (5-4-5).
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
As described, Diego Simeone’s team are not in good form and the problems are now very persistent. This is easily seen from the fact that the fourth-placed team in the last La Liga season have only won three of their last ten league games.
By comparison, the upcoming opponents have an identical haul of 13 points in the context of this review. The recent defeat in the Champions League against arch-rivals Real Madrid has also left a bigger mark on the nerves of the club from the Estadio Metropolitano.
The visitors lost to Barcelona and only drew against Espanyol. In both games, they squandered an interim lead. As mentioned at the beginning, the second leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final against FCB last Wednesday also ended in defeat. As a result, the visitors missed out on their first cup final since 2013 and the only remaining chance of winning silverware this season.
Alvarez seems unfazed by CL trauma
At least the main protagonist of the drama from the premier class has apparently recovered from the humiliation. We are talking about Julian Alvarez, whose successful attempt from the spot in the decisive penalty shoot-out was not counted due to an alleged double touch when taking the kick.
However, the Argentinean presented himself in contrast to his team following little affected. Readable in two goals in the five following games in the jersey of the eleven-time Spanish champions and his national team.
Another maximum one goal by Atletico?
Overall, however, the visitors’ attack has been lacking for some time. The Madrid side have only scored in one of their last seven competitive games! In view of this offensive drought, betting odds of no more than one goal for the visitors are additionally worth considering in the Sevilla v Atletico Madrid game.
Sevilla – Atletico Madrid Direct comparison / H2H record
The 14th of the previous season only just lost 3:4 in the last direct duel against the “Indios”. Sevilla also won their last home game against Madrid 1:0 in February of last year.
There is no new pattern in the Andalusians’ home games in this fixture: they have only lost one of the last six duels against Atletico in front of their own fans and half have ended with the hosts winning. Nevertheless, the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid odds are now slightly in favor of the guests.
Sevilla – Atletico Madrid betting tip
For the match between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, the prediction is for a draw. Although the guests, in third place, are clearly better than the home side, who are only in eleventh place in the Spanish top flight, the form of the two clubs is currently similar.
Furthermore, the hosts benefit from the timing of the game. The visitors have already had to play a difficult cup game against league leaders Barcelona this week, which means they have a physical disadvantage.
The defeat against FCB will also have had an additional impact on the morale of the guests, which has already suffered in recent weeks due to a lack of success. On top of that, the Andalusians traditionally perform strongly against the capital city team on their own ground.