How hungover is the champion?

A crisis duel is taking place with Stuttgart against Leverkusen and the betting base serves up a tip for the clash between the champions and the runners-up. The hosts have been waiting for a win for four rounds and have recently been weak at home. The last three games at home ended in defeat.

In addition, Bayer has been an insurmountable opponent for VfB coach Sebastian Hoeneß: in his ten appearances as a trainer for TSG Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, he has never managed to win (0-7-3)!

However, the guests will be more tired than VfB, as they have already been challenged in the Champions League this week. The second leg against Bayern in the last 16 of the Champions League was on the agenda, and after a 3-0 first-leg defeat, they suffered another 2-0 defeat, which meant that Bayer was out of the competition without a chance. For the match between Stuttgart and Leverkusen, the prediction is not for a goalless draw, but for a goal celebration on both sides and more than two goals.

VfB Stuttgart vs. Leverkusen Prediction AI

When our artificial intelligence looked at the duel on the Neckar, the value detector rejected the odds of an away win. In the eyes of the AI, the probability of the champions winning is 46.6 percent, which is above the Winamax odds of 2.30 for this outcome, which converts to a probability of 43.5 percent. In light of this difference, the AI forecast for the duel between Stuttgart and Leverkusen includes a three-pointer from the team in second place.

VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & current form

The Swabians are not living up to the strong performances of last season this season. The VfB already has more defeats than in the previous season (seven) and 16 points less than at this point last season – no other team in the league has suffered a bigger “downgrade” in terms of points. The sporting downturn is partly due to a lack of consistency in defense.

Now, coach Sebastian Hoeneß’ back four has to be rebuilt because Leonidas Stergiou was sent off during the 2-2 draw against newly promoted Holstein Kiel on the last matchday, meaning the Swiss defender, who had been a fixed feature in the back four, is suspended. Currently, the defense is again in a particularly shaky state, conceding an average of two goals in the past four rounds.

Stuttgart’s defense stops earlier

Another shortcoming is that the defense regularly runs out of steam towards the end of the game. They concede the most goals in the last fifteen minutes of a game in the league (eleven). On top of that, Deniz Undav’s form in attack needs to be improved.

The former Brighton striker returned to the squad at the beginning of the year after a break due to injury and it seemed that the German international was quickly getting back up to speed. Undav scored in two of his first three competitive appearances – in which he only came on from the bench – but since then he has rarely impressed. Only one goal in the last ten national and international matches quickly shows his persistent jam.

No winner between Stuttgart and Leverkusen?

Stuttgart can’t count on home advantage either. The Swabians haven’t scored in three league games at home!

However, given that the guests have also not been convincing recently and are at a physical disadvantage due to the additional Champions League game, betting odds for a draw in the match between Stuttgart and Leverkusen are equally worth considering.

Leverkusen – statistics & current form

The champions are currently at their physical limit. In addition to the Bundesliga and DFB Cup duties, the guests recently had to play Bayern twice in the Champions League. The German duels against the record champions from the Isar ended, as mentioned at the beginning, with defeats, which is why at least this competition is no longer on Leverkusen’s schedule.

Furthermore, the last Bundesliga matchday brought with it a severe personnel setback. Florian Wirtz was injured during the home defeat against Werder. The German national player will be out for a few weeks. The 21-year-old, who has already scored 22 goals this season after 22 goals last season, cannot be adequately replaced. This means that the attacking department will be noticeably weakened.

Bayer is an early starter.

One advantage for coach Xabi Alonso’s team this season, however, is that they usually find their feet quickly in the league games. Leverkusen have scored the most goals in the first half of the game at 35! Furthermore, Bayer has scored the first goal of the game 18 times this season – only Bayern top that number (20).

In view of this, the odds that the guests will score first again are also recommended for the Stuttgart and Leverkusen showdown. You can find quotes at Bet365 and the provider from the UK also offers Paypal for sports betting!

Moreover, Leverkusen can be said to have strong taker qualities: the Alonso troupe conceded the first goal of the game four times and only once last matchday in the defeat against Werder was not subsequently turned around!

Leverkusen chases the Bayern record

Furthermore, Bayer is strong away from home – the champions have not lost in 29 away games in the Bundesliga (21-8-0). In the history of the league, this represents no less than the second-longest away streak of this kind, after Bayern’s 33 away games without defeat between April 2012 and March 2014!

VfB Stuttgart – Leverkusen Head-to-head record / H2H record

Stuttgart have been waiting for a win against the Werkself for almost seven years! Instead, VfB have suffered nine defeats since then and at least drawn five times. In the eyes of the bookmakers, the guests are now favorites again because Stuttgart are getting odds in their favor against Leverkusen.

VfB Stuttgart – Leverkusen betting tip

Both teams are in a shaky state, mainly due to shaky defences. For this reason, the Stuttgart v Leverkusen prediction is for more than two goals and a goal celebration on both sides.

A game that has already been observed in five of the hosts’ last six league games. The guests have also been vulnerable in defense recently. They conceded a total of five goals from Bayern in the Champions League last week and this week, as well as two opposing goals in the home game against Werder in the league recently.

In light of these numbers, the tip for the Stuttgart vs. Leverkusen clash is no shortage of goals in the Swabian metropolis. The prediction is supported by the statistics of the pairing in the recent past: three of the last four encounters have already been associated with goals on both sides and at least three goals!